Proof of Usefulness Report

Predicting Alpha

Analysis completed on 1/28/2026

+346
Proof of Usefulness Score
Certified Problem Solver

Predicting Alpha is a legitimate, revenue-generating B2C SaaS ($200k ARR) serving a niche audience of retail options traders. While the submission contained hyperbolic claims ('everyone', 'most people have used my product') and low-quality responses, external verification confirms the existence of a robust product, legitimate endorsements (e.g., Euan Sinclair), and a dedicated, paying community. The project scores well on utility and timing but is penalized for low audience reach compared to the calibration standard and poor submission quality.

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Score Breakdown

Real World Utility+18.75
Audience Reach Impact+1.0
Technical Innovation+7.5
Evidence Of Traction+6.25
Market Timing Relevance+7.0
Functional Completeness+0.25
Subtotal+40.75
Usefulness Multiplierx0.85
Final Score+346

Project Details

Project URL
predictingalpha.com
Description
B2C SaaS, Growth Stage. 200k ARR\n\nOur current flagship product is the PA terminal, which is focused on helping option traders find an edge. \nWe have established ourselves as a leader in data and education for retail options traders through endorsements from professionals like Euan Sinclair and fairly strong brand recognition in the community. \nWe currently charge $79/mo USD for a subscription and it includes the following\nOptions data terminal (contains scanners, data visualizers, and calculators used to find inefficiencies in option pricing)\n150 hours of education (structured into 4 levels, some structured, most live webinar recordings. Education starts from. the basics and goes to the point of teaching professional concepts. This is main driver of endorsement from pro traders)\nCommunity Chat (Discord. Members discuss trade ideas with each other. Organized by conversation type.\n\nHow has this helped members? \n\nIt's taught them what a real edge looks like and given them the tools to find their own way in the market.

Algorithm Insights

Market Position
Strong market validation with clear user adoption patterns
User Engagement
Documented reach suggests active user community
Technical Stack
Modern tech stack aligned with sponsor technologies

Recommendations to Increase Usefulness Score

Document User Growth

Provide specific metrics on user acquisition and retention rates

Showcase Revenue Model

Detail sustainable monetization strategy and current revenue streams

Expand Evidence Base

Include testimonials, case studies, and third-party validation

Technical Roadmap

Share development milestones and feature completion timeline